Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001452 0.001547 0.001645 0.001753 0.001870 0.001992 0.002131
2024-10-06 0.001314 0.001442 0.001580 0.001739 0.001917 0.002111 0.002339
2024-10-13 0.001220 0.001373 0.001540 0.001739 0.001969 0.002228 0.002542
2024-10-20 0.001126 0.001291 0.001477 0.001703 0.001972 0.002283 0.002672
2024-10-27 0.001064 0.001241 0.001445 0.001698 0.002006 0.002370 0.002838
2024-11-03 0.000983 0.001164 0.001374 0.001641 0.001971 0.002371 0.002895
2024-11-10 0.000950 0.001140 0.001366 0.001656 0.002024 0.002477 0.003086
2024-11-17 0.000905 0.001100 0.001334 0.001641 0.002035 0.002530 0.003209
2024-11-24 0.000880 0.001081 0.001328 0.001655 0.002084 0.002632 0.003398
2024-12-01 0.000837 0.001039 0.001290 0.001626 0.002074 0.002655 0.003482
2024-12-08 0.000804 0.001007 0.001263 0.001611 0.002080 0.002699 0.003594
2024-12-15 0.000774 0.000979 0.001239 0.001598 0.002088 0.002743 0.003708
2024-12-22 0.000749 0.000957 0.001226 0.001601 0.002122 0.002832 0.003899
2024-12-29 0.000719 0.000928 0.001201 0.001589 0.002134 0.002891 0.004048
2025-01-05 0.000696 0.000908 0.001187 0.001588 0.002163 0.002973 0.004237
2025-01-12 0.000663 0.000872 0.001151 0.001557 0.002145 0.002987 0.004322
2025-01-19 0.000642 0.000852 0.001135 0.001552 0.002165 0.003056 0.004495
2025-01-26 0.000606 0.000811 0.001088 0.001501 0.002114 0.003017 0.004496
2025-02-02 0.000594 0.000802 0.001086 0.001514 0.002159 0.003124 0.004734
2025-02-09 0.000574 0.000780 0.001066 0.001500 0.002163 0.003166 0.004868
2025-02-16 0.000564 0.000773 0.001064 0.001513 0.002207 0.003275 0.005116
2025-02-23 0.000542 0.000748 0.001038 0.001487 0.002190 0.003284 0.005198
2025-03-02 0.000526 0.000729 0.001019 0.001474 0.002191 0.003322 0.005330